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The Orbt Market Index

1775 records·36 sources·175 markets·free to use and cite·updated September 9, 2026

What is true about selling anything from anywhere into any market

1775records40 can stop a launch

30 of 1775

Market briefs

Everything held on one market, in the order it can hurt you.

Show 151 more markets

What we measured everywhere

One question, every market we could ask it of, ranked in one table. All 62.

Show 50 more measures

How to read a record

  • Consequence

    What it costs to get wrong. Red stops a launch, orange costs margin, blue slows you down, grey is an edge case. Taller is worse.

  • 95A
    Confidence

    The track stops where the evidence tier stops. A statute can reach 97, an inference 65. The hairline past the stop is what this tier can never reach.

  • Currency

    How far a record has run through its own recheck interval. Amber near the end, red past it, absent while there is nothing to say.

  • 2 caveats
    Caveats

    Something recorded narrows how the sentence should be read. Not that it is wrong; that quoting it alone would mislead.

How confidence is scored, when a record expires and what has to be true before one is published is on the methodology page

What this data is not

  • Coverage is deliberately narrow. A market with no claims means we have not measured it, not that nothing is true there.
  • Observed-web claims describe the storefronts named in their evidence, not the whole market.
  • Confidence is capped by evidence tier: 97 for a primary document, 90 for systematic observation, 80 for expert judgement, 65 for inference.
  • Claims past their refresh interval are marked stale and remain published until re-verified or retired.
  • Retracted entries are removed from entries.json and kept in retired.json with the date and reason. Their permalinks resolve. If you are holding an entry id that is not in entries.json, look there before assuming it was deleted.

Take it and use it

The whole release is a free download. No account, no key, no gate. Read it, quote it, cite it and act on it — in a deck, a board paper, a model or a decision about where to sell next. Credit the Orbt Market Index and the record id. The one thing you may not do is resell or redistribute the dataset, because several of the sources under it ask that of us and we pass it on unchanged: the licence and every source’s terms.

  • entries.jsonEvery record with its evidence, scope and falsifier.
  • entries.ndjsonOne record per line, for streaming and pipelines.
  • entries.mdCompact markdown, written to be pasted into a model.
  • sources.jsonEvery source, with the hash of the page we read.
  • taxonomy.jsonRecord types, severities, categories and market coverage.
  • index.jsonThe manifest: version, counts, licence and limits.
Cite asThe Orbt Market Index 0.1.0, Orbt, September 9, 2026, https://tryorbt.com/markets

Found something wrong? That is the point of publishing the falsifier. Send the record id and what you saw to hello@tryorbt.com and we will recheck it, correct it in the open, and keep the revision on the record. Every change made so far is on the corrections page.